Monthly global demand, daily European flights, and annual historical context. Every signal carries its source date, coverage and validation status.
Demand and capacity are year-on-year changes in distance-weighted traffic. Monthly RPK and CTK are separate from the annual passenger-count and freight histories below.
Experimental stress = weaker growth relative to the preceding 15 years. At least 10 prior observations required. No market-score weight.
Official world aggregate; annual, latest revised history.
Daily network aggregate, including overflights. The 28-day comparison requires every day in the current and reference windows. Country totals overlap and are never summed.
Freight tonne-km measures transported weight × distance. Changes can accompany high-value goods demand and supply-chain pressure; longer routes can increase tonne-km without more goods.
Compare with real export growth. No conversion to trade dollars is inferred.
Passenger traffic can accompany hotel, leisure and retail demand. Domestic and business passengers are included; airline domicile does not identify the visitor destination.
Compare with international tourist arrivals; the concepts and transport modes differ.
Cargo and travel move with economic demand, but fuel costs, capacity, routes, weather and disruptions also matter. Low traffic alone does not establish war or recession.
The validation panel separates co-movement from next-year association.
Dots mark country capitals for selection, not airports or flight positions. Size = passengers; color = annual growth. Missing values are omitted.
NASA GIBS · Blue Marble background · geographic reference, not live imagery · Loading NASA Earth imagery…
| Country / carrier domicile | Passengers | YoY | Freight · million t-km | Departures |
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Scroll horizontally for all measures and vertically for more countries. Empty values remain unavailable.
| Airport | Country | 28-day departures | vs 364 days earlier | Coverage · current / prior |
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A growth value requires all 28 days in both windows. Search and sort apply to reporting airports only.
Historical benchmark: ICAO’s 2009 annual report describes an approximately 10% scheduled-freight decline. The source series must be reconciled with this benchmark before promotion.
| Episode | Passenger YoY | Freight YoY | Departure YoY | Aviation stress |
|---|
| Relationship | Same year · ρ [95% interval] | Excluding 2020–22 | Next-year association |
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Positive correlation means the series tended to move together. Intervals crossing zero indicate unclear direction. Associations do not identify which variable causes the other.
Fixed first 65% of annual observations for training; final 35% for evaluation. GDP persistence regression versus the same regression plus previous-year freight growth. No test-period fitting. Historical release timing is unavailable, so this is a diagnostic with revised data, not an investable forecast.
The global candidate gives equal weight to freight and passenger growth stress. European airport breadth remains a regional companion indicator. Neither has a production world-score weight.
A new page build never refreshes a source date. Failed downloads retain their last successful retrieval timestamp. Annual sources refresh every six days; the network and current airport files refresh daily; the airport provider publishes monthly. Daily build: 07:50 UTC.
| Source | Frequency | Observation through | Retrieved UTC | Health |
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World Bank WDI republishes ICAO aviation statistics. Country data follow registered carriers and can differ from territorial airport throughput. Official world aggregates are used directly; countries and region aggregates are never summed together.
EUROCONTROL provides daily network totals and daily airport observations released monthly. An airport activity reduction cannot identify cancellation causes, airspace restrictions or security events without separate evidence.
Current worldwide daily flight totals, route-level passenger flows, cargo value, destination tourism spending, and causal GDP effects are unavailable in these feeds. More timely global data and security context are requirements for the future integrated score.
Annual observation age limit: 730 days after year-end. Daily network: 7 days; monthly-published airport detail: 75 days. Historical archived years retain their own retrieval clock.